One of the endearing features of our world is its complexity. Hardly anything is as simple as we’d like to believe. In fact, a characteristic diagnosis of a demagogue is simple answers. “All we have to do is …” “if the democrats would only …” It’s popular, easy to understand, easy to believe, and seldom true. Case in point is the intersection of peak oil and the current financial situation. Peak Oilers predicted for years a collapse of the economy, financial first, once peak oil arrived. Then peak oil arrived cerca 2005 to 2008, The Bubble Years, and the economy pitched financials first into the pits right on schedule. But then a funny thing happened and oil on the market suddenly became abundant. We were once again awash in (relatively) cheap gas. Relative that is to the trillions squandered in our names spent bailing out the bankers. And an even funnier thing could happen. We could in fact be awash in cheap gas all the way back to the stone age. All that takes is an economy collapsing faster than the oil supply. Suppose the oil supply declines at 5% and the economy declines at 6%. The economy will fall away from the supply. Of course we don’t know what’s really happening now, whether peak oil is really here or not. We certainly don’t know what will happen in the future. And much is lost due to memory. No memory, no perception, no vision. !Qué lastima!
Lo del Mundo que me gusto más es la verdad. ¿Pero donde se la encuentra? ¿En el periódico del supermercado? “Dr. Phil is a Fraud” grita las titulares. Es verdad. Aun El Diablo puede hablar la verdad ¿Mira para la verdad en las noticias? Sí, será estúpido. Allá ver la propaganda solamente. ¿El Gobierno? No me hagas reír. Es maquiavélico. Todos parecen mientras.
Ahora tenemos el pico del petróleo enfrente la bancarrota de los bancos y colapso del mundo financiero. Hace mucho años unos pocos sabios dijo que la fin esta cerca del petróleo y esa podía conducir una descomposición mundial monetario. Lo y mirar, ha pasado. ¿Es verdad, correctamente? O no, nunca era tan simple. |
